Sunday, August 21, 2016

Burn Rate

Burn Rate and Cash Monitoring

            Burn Rate is a dot-com era term used to describe, in financial terms, the various stages a startup company goes through before achieving profitability while concurrently maintaining a sustainable level of operating cash. To be self-sustainable is to be working with net positive cashflows. Achieving this level makes the case easier for future funding efforts if additional resources are needed for the next level of growth. Unfortunately, many businesses operate in a manner in which their setup and continuous operations lead to a cash zero date certainty. Therefore, it is best to understand the burn rate and aggressively design the business to defeat the burn rate and achieve sustainability as to make the next funding round an option for business growth instead of a matter of survival.

            Burn rate therefore, measures the company’s sustainability and how practical it may be to invest into it. It is best then, to focus on solving the operating cash cycle throughout the financial periods. I offer a spreadsheet analysis on this topic in Fig 1.

Sustainable
Unsustainable
Operating revenues cash receipts:
Beginning revenue-driven receivables $
500,000
500,000
Sales, both cash and credit on income statement
5,000,000
2,500,000
Total
5,500,000
3,000,000
Less ending revenue-driven receivables
600,000
600,000
Total
4,900,000
2,400,000
Add ending balance of unearned revenues (a)
50,000
50,000
Total
4,950,000
2,450,000
Less beginning balance of unearned revenues
100,000
100,000
Cash collected for revenues (b) $
4,850,000
2,350,000
Cash paid for cost of goods sold:
Ending inventory $
400,000
400,000
Cost of goods sold on income statement
3,000,000
3,000,000
Total
3,400,000
3,400,000
Less beginning inventory
350,000
350,000
Total
3,050,000
3,050,000
Add beginning inventory-related payables
200,000
200,000
Total
3,250,000
3,250,000
Less ending inventory-related payables
150,000
150,000
Cash paid for cost of goods for resale $
3,100,000
3,100,000
Cash paid for any expense:
Beginning accrual $
15,000
15,000
Any expense on income statement
40,000
40,000
Total
55,000
55,000
Less ending accrual
10,000
10,000
Total
45,000
45,000
Add ending related prepaid amount, if any
10,000
10,000
Total
55,000
55,000
Less beginning related prepaid amount, if any
5,000
5,000
Cash paid for expense item $
50,000
50,000
Notes:
a Customers Advance Payments
b Whether Earned or Not
Burn-Rate
Gross
3,150,000
3,150,000
Net
1,750,000
(750,000)
Positive Cash Flow/ (Burn Rate) - Per Month
145,833
(62,500)
Cash Reserve
1,000,000
Sustainable for xMonths - 1 Month
-15


Figure 1. Sustainable versus Unsustainable

            In the sustainable business case, the business operations result in a net positive cash accumulation of $145.8K per month. Developing a business case to invest for business growth is an easier task than the unsustainable business case. In the unsustainable business case, which might be correctable, operations must focus on course correction. This business has a cash burn rate of $62.5K per month which if left unchecked means that its $1M cash reserve will be consumed in 16 months. In its 15th month, if not corrected, will need to be well on its way in executing its exit strategy.

            The concept of burn rate, while useful as a tool for past performance over a set of periods, for instance, the last 12 months, would also be useful as an operational dashboard gauge. For one of our clients, this tool became the means in which cash consumption versus cash reserves and operating cash balance was monitored. With cash being king, this gauge can become useful in setting operations decisions.

Video Highlights

Insightfully yours,
Robert Majdak Sr, Co-Founder
Crystal Majdak, Co-Founder
Management Insights Team

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